ISLAMABAD: Dutch scientist Frank Hoogerbeets’ prediction about a massive earthquake in Pakistan within 48 hours has failed to materialize, local media reported on Wednesday.
Hoogerbeets, a researcher at the Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS), had made the prediction, in a post on social media platform X citing atmospheric fluctuations near Pakistan.
His tweet quickly gained attraction on the internet, causing widespread anxiety among the Pakistani pubic. However, even after 40 hours of the prediction Pakistan did not feel any tremors.
On 30 September we recorded atmospheric fluctuations that included parts of and near Pakistan. This is correct. It can be an indicator of an upcoming stronger tremor (as was the case with Morocco). But we cannot say with certainty that it will happen. https://t.co/B6MtclMOpe
— Frank Hoogerbeets (@hogrbe) October 2, 2023
Hoogerbeets later contradicted his own statement in a tweet saying that there can be indicators of potential seismic activity but there is no certainty that a particular earthquake will take place.
Some experts believe that seeking media attention could be a reason for making such predictions. Hoogerbeets came to limelight when he accurately predicted an earthquake in Turkey.
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Critics say that such predictions are highly irresponsible, especially coming from a scientist. The experts maintain that predicting earthquake accurately is quite impossible due to the complex nature of tectonic processes.
The Dutch scientist’s prediction underlines the need for a more responsible and science-based approach in making such statements especially about seismic risks in regions prone to earthquakes like Pakistan.
